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2024-12-13 02:43:09

European natural gas futures fell by about 3%. At the end of the European market on Monday (December 9), ICE British natural gas futures fell by 3.51% to 111.800 pence/kcal. TTF benchmark Dutch natural gas futures fell 2.96% to 45.075 Euro/MWh. According to Bloomberg data, at 21:33 Beijing time, it instantly dived from above 45 euros to 35.400 euros, and instantly rebounded to around 45 euros. ICE EU carbon emissions trading license (futures price) fell 2.62% to 66.52 euros/ton.Aldo Spanjer, Commodity Strategist of BNP Paribas: It is estimated that the average price of Brent crude oil will be 71 USD/barrel in 2026.Turkish President Erdogan: Assad fled after Syria was reduced to ruins, and Assad and his regime rejected Turkey's call for dialogue.


The man arrested in connection with the shooting of the CEO of United Health Insurance wrote a manifesto. The man detained in the shooting of the CEO of United Health Insurance once wrote a manifesto criticizing the medical insurance company for putting profits above medical care.The yield of European sovereign bonds was generally stable on the second day of non-farming, and the yield of 10-year German bonds rose by more than 1 basis point. At the end of the European market on Monday (December 9), the yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 1.3 basis points to 2.121%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 2.091%-2.122%. The yield of two-year German bonds fell by 0.3 basis points to 1.998%, and intraday trading was in the range of 2.017%-1.973%. The yield spread of 2/10-year German bonds rose by 1.795 basis points to +12.102 basis points. The yield of British 10-year government bonds fell by 0.5 basis points, and the yield of two-year British bonds fell by 1.3 basis points; The yield spread of 2/10-year British bonds rose by 0.801 basis points to +2.109 basis points. France's 10-year bond yields fell by 0.2 basis points, Italy's 10-year bond yields rose by 0.4 basis points, Spain's 10-year bond yields rose by 0.2 basis points, and Greece's 10-year bond yields were roughly flat.Pimco tends to reduce its holdings of longer-term US Treasury bonds. The main reason is the rising deficit. Marc Seidner and Pramol Dhawan, managing directors of Pimco, wrote in a report on Monday that they have been "reducing the allocation of longer-term bonds" and prefer short-term US Treasury bonds. As the size of US Treasury bonds soared from $17 trillion before the outbreak to nearly $29 trillion, the concern about the increase in the yield of long-term treasury bonds caused by the increase in US debt has become a flash point in the market. What investors are most worried about is the recurrence of the phenomenon of "bond self-defense forces" in the 1980s and early 1990s, that is, some bondholders aggressively sold US Treasury bonds because of the huge government financial expenditure. Seidner and Dhawan wrote, "It is difficult to predict the sudden reaction of the market to long-term trends. No organized self-defense force is prepared to take action on a specific debt threshold, and changes in investor behavior usually occur over time. " Pimco said that in view of the sustainability of US debt and the impact of potential inflation catalysts on the labor force, the institution hesitated to buy long-term debt.


The commodity currency NZD/USD rose by 1.0% to 0.5886.Federal Reserve Bank of new york: Respondents expect the interest rate of savings accounts to rise next year. In November, their views on the current household financial situation remained stable, and respondents significantly lowered their expectations for the future level of government lending. Respondents believe that the risk of not being able to repay debts is declining, and respondents expect that the financial situation will improve in the coming year, which is the highest level since February 2020.WTO: The global trade in goods grew moderately in the fourth quarter of 2024. On December 9, local time, the latest issue of "Barometer of Trade in Goods" released by WTO showed that the prosperity index of global trade in goods was 102.7, which was higher than the benchmark of 100. According to the analysis of WTO, global trade in goods continued to grow moderately in the fourth quarter of 2024, but the trade prospect in 2025 is still uncertain and may be affected by potential trade policy changes. (CCTV)

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